Publication
Title
Intervention time series analysis of crime rates : the case of sentence reform in Virginia
Author
Abstract
We review the basic concepts of intervention analysis in the context of structural time series models and we apply this methodology to investigate the possible reduction in monthly crime rates reported from January 1984 up to and including December 2010 after Virginia abolished parole and reformed sentencing in January 1995. We find that the change in legislation has significantly reduced the burglary rates and to a lesser extent the murder rates in Virginia. The robustness of our results is investigated with an automatic detection of breaks procedure as well as with analyses of quarterly rather than monthly data.
Language
English
Source (journal)
Economic modelling. - Guilford
Publication
Guilford : 2016
ISSN
0264-9993
Volume/pages
57(2016), p. 311-323
ISI
000378667100024
Full text (Publisher's DOI)
Full text (open access)
The author-created version that incorporates referee comments and is the accepted for publication version Available from 18.03.2019
Full text (publisher's version - intranet only)
UAntwerpen
Faculty/Department
Research group
Publication type
Subject
Affiliation
Publications with a UAntwerp address
External links
Web of Science
Record
Identification
Creation 18.03.2016
Last edited 21.07.2017
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