Title
Overestimation of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise Overestimation of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise
Author
Faculty/Department
Faculty of Sciences. Biology
Publication type
article
Publication
Subject
Physics
Chemistry
Biology
Source (journal)
Nature climate change
Volume/pages
6(2016) :3 , p. 253-260
ISSN
1758-678X
ISI
000370964000012
Carrier
E
Target language
English (eng)
Full text (Publishers DOI)
Affiliation
University of Antwerp
Abstract
Coastal marshes are considered to be among the most valuable and vulnerable ecosystems on Earth, where the imminent loss of ecosystem services is a feared consequence of sea level rise. However, we show with a meta-analysis that global measurements of marsh elevation change indicate that marshes are generally building at rates similar to or exceeding historical sea level rise, and that process-based models predict survival under a wide range of future sea level scenarios. We argue that marsh vulnerability tends to be overstated because assessment methods often fail to consider biophysical feedback processes known to accelerate soil building with sea level rise, and the potential for marshes to migrate inland.
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Full text (open access)
https://repository.uantwerpen.be/docman/irua/5d373e/131338_2016_08_26.pdf
E-info
https://repository.uantwerpen.be/docman/iruaauth/dc7212/131338.pdf
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