Title
ASSURE : a model for the simulation of urban expansion and intra-urban social segregation ASSURE : a model for the simulation of urban expansion and intra-urban social segregation
Author
Faculty/Department
Faculty of Applied Economics
Publication type
article
Publication
London ,
Subject
Documentation and information
Economics
Computer. Automation
Source (journal)
International journal of geographical information science. - London
Volume/pages
30(2016) :12 , p. 2377-2400
ISSN
1365-8816
ISI
000383667800004
Carrier
E
Target language
English (eng)
Full text (Publishers DOI)
Affiliation
University of Antwerp
Abstract
Numerous cities in developing regions worldwide are expanding at a tremendous rate. This requires adequate strategies to address the needs of these growing cities with diverse populations. Nonetheless, the development of urban policies is often hampered by the lack of reliable data or insight in the socio-spatial dynamics of this urban expansion. This paper therefore presents ASSURE, a spatially and temporally explicit model that can simulate urban growth and intra-urban social segregation, taking into account alternative policy strategies and expected social dynamics. The model has a flexible structure that allows incorporating specific city conditions that influence residential decision-making and adapting the simulation to the data available. This, in combination with the transparent model structure, makes ASSURE a potentially valuable decision support tool for urban planning. The potential is demonstrated with an example where the urban growth of and social segregation in Kampala (Uganda) is simulated based on (semi-)quantitative and qualitative data for ca. 800 households collected through interviews. The results of the simulations show that depending on the scenario, the spatial segregation and accessibility problems will evolve highly differently.
E-info
https://repository.uantwerpen.be/docman/iruaauth/9fb967/132915.pdf
Handle