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Title
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Extreme weather and civil war : does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks?
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Author
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Abstract
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| A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within-country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia. |
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Language
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English
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Source (journal)
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American journal of agricultural economics. - Berkeley, Calif.
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Publication
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Berkeley, Calif.
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2014
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ISSN
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0002-9092
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DOI
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10.1093/AJAE/AAU010
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Volume/pages
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96
:4
(2014)
, p. 1157-1182
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ISI
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000339947300012
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Full text (Publisher's DOI)
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