Title
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Making evacuation decisions by using a discrete-time approximation methodology
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Author
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Abstract
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This article further elaborates the findings by Reniers et al. in 2007 and 2008. A discrete-time approximation is presented to determine the severity of a major accident threat triggering immediate evacuation and its expected resulting costs. By implementing the proposed mathematical model, precautionary evacuation decision problems can be tackled in a realistic way, i.e., allowing for major accident threats with limited duration. Furthermore, the model is moulded into a working procedure which was used to develop software to solve the suggested algorithms. A case-study is provided and the results obtained by application of the methodology are discussed. Using a (realistic) discrete-time approximation computer simulation,we found that ignoring option characteristics may produce suboptimal intervention decisions in shutdown settings |
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Language
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English
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Source (journal)
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Journal of hazardous materials. - Amsterdam
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Publication
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Amsterdam
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2009
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ISSN
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0304-3894
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DOI
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10.1016/J.JHAZMAT.2008.08.049
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Volume/pages
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164
:2-3
(2009)
, p. 490-496
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ISI
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000265358400012
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Full text (Publisher's DOI)
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